- Chiang Wan-an 會贏得下一屆台北市長選舉嗎？60¢
- Puma Shen 會贏得下一屆台北市長選舉嗎？41¢
- Kuo Hsi 會贏得下一屆台北市長選舉嗎？<1¢
Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent seeking reelection, holds the strongest position in the November 28 Taipei mayoral race, though recent polling shows the contest tightening as Democratic Progressive Party challenger Puma Shen narrows gaps among younger voters and former Taiwan People’s Party supporters. Chiang has emphasized first-term gains in childcare facilities, infrastructure upgrades, healthcare access, and urban renewal thresholds to consolidate his base ahead of the election. Shen has countered with active motorcades, rallies, and policy pledges on senior benefits and social services while denying related rumors, building crossover momentum through direct outreach. The scheduled October 31 televised debate and final weeks of campaigning on swing voter priorities remain key variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
規則
台灣地方選舉預定於2026年11月28日舉行。 本市場將根據在此次選舉中成為台北市下一任市長的候選人結算。 選舉前任命的臨時、過渡或代理市長將不予考慮。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 下午11:59 ET，此次選舉結果仍未公布，或尚未選出任何候選人，本市場將以「其他」結算。 本市場將依據可信報導的共識所顯示的選舉結果結算。如有歧義，本市場將僅依據台灣政府公布的官方結果結算，具體而言是中央選舉委員會（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的結果。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。