- SpaceX星艦第14次飛行測試會在9月30日前發射嗎？100¢100%
- SpaceX 星艦第十四次試飛的超重型助推器會爆炸嗎？100¢100%
- SpaceX 星艦第 14 次試飛的星艦會成功濺落嗎？100¢100%
- SpaceX 星艦第 14 次飛行測試會在 10 月 31 日前發射嗎？100¢100%
- SpaceX 星艦第 14 次試飛會在 9 月 28 日前發射嗎？100¢100%
- SpaceX Starship 第十四次試飛能否在9月29日前發射？100¢100%
- 筷子會接住SpaceX星艦飛行測試14號星艦嗎？0¢0%
- SpaceX 星艦第 14 次試飛會在 8 月 31 日前發射嗎？0¢0%
- SpaceX星艦第14次飛行測試會在9月15日前發射嗎？0¢0%
- 筷子會接住SpaceX星艦飛行測試14的超重型助推器嗎？0¢0%
- SpaceX 星艦第14次飛行測試會在9月19日前發射嗎？0¢0%
- SpaceX Starship 試飛 14 會在 9 月 26 日之前發射嗎？0¢0%
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Starship Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, when the vehicle completed its first orbital insertion after liftoff from Starbase, Texas, following FAA licensing the prior day. The upper stage deployed 26 operational Starlink V3 satellites—marking the first revenue-generating payload—then executed a deorbit burn and controlled splashdown in the Pacific despite an ascent engine issue that prompted an abbreviated mission. The Super Heavy booster also landed successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Traders are pricing high probabilities for near-term launch and splashdown resolutions based on this demonstrated orbital capability, heat shield performance data, and progress toward reusable operations, with attention now shifting to Flight 15 timelines and potential booster catch attempts.
規則
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.