Recent screen tests and insider reports have narrowed the field for the next James Bond, keeping Jack Lowden's 28.5% implied probability ahead on endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman and his proven spy credentials. Callum Turner sits close at 21.1% thanks to consistent industry buzz and franchise experience, while Jacob Elordi's 11.9% reflects fan momentum from unconfirmed casting rumors. The 26.2% probability on no actor chosen yet highlights ongoing uncertainty as Amazon MGM Studios, with director Denis Villeneuve, approaches a decision expected by year-end. Traders focus on shortlist dynamics, age suitability for multiple films, and the absence of official confirmation amid shifting speculation.
如果所列演員在 2026年12月31日、下午11:59 ET 前獲官方宣布為下一任 James Bond 演員,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將判定為「否」。 此市場將根據首次正式宣布誰將成為下一任 James Bond 來判定,不受此後任何變更影響。 如果在指定期限內沒有演員獲宣布為下一任 Bond,此市場將判定為「尚未選定 Bond」。 此市場判定的主要依據將是 Amazon MGM Studios 的官方資訊。但也可採用可信報導的共識。
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