- 共和黨會贏得 2026 年南卡羅來納州州長選舉嗎？94¢
- 民主黨會在 2026 年贏得南卡羅來納州州長選舉嗎？5¢
South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and consistent preference for GOP candidates in statewide contests underpin the market's strong consensus around Alan Wilson. As the open-seat race follows term-limited Governor Henry McMaster, Wilson secured the Republican nomination decisively in a June runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette after consolidating support from other primary contenders. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 9 to 19 points, aligning with the state's 2024 presidential margin. A single October debate highlighted contrasts on taxes, Medicaid, and education, but no major shifts in fundamentals have emerged. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
規則
此市場將根據 2026 年南卡羅來納州州長選舉的勝出者結算。 若某候選人獲相關政黨提名，則視為代表該政黨。民主黨或共和黨提名人選以外的候選人（例如綠黨、自由意志黨或無黨籍候選人）可能會在日後加入。 以無黨籍身分參選的候選人不會納入「民主黨」或「共和黨」選項，無論他們與該政黨有任何關聯。 為方便交易者，合約中可能會列出候選人的姓名。如果任何一位列名候選人在選舉日前被替換，不再代表其所屬政黨參選，合約中的姓名將會更新，市場將根據該政黨的替代候選人結果結算。 本市場的結算依據為 Associated Press、Fox News 和 NBC。三個來源都宣布同一位候選人勝選後，本市場即會結算。如果這三個來源尚未在該州宣布同一位候選人贏得選舉，則此市場將依據官方認證結果結算。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。