- 共和黨會贏得 OH-08 的眾議院席位嗎？93¢
- 民主黨會贏得眾議院中屬於 OH-08 的席位嗎？6¢
Incumbent Warren Davidson holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 8th Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s solidly Republican character after recent redistricting that removed more Democratic-leaning areas and added conservative territory in Miami County. Davidson, who has represented the district since 2016, benefits from incumbency advantages, consistent primary support, and a voting record on issues such as surveillance reform and financial regulation that align with the district’s base. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024. Trader consensus at 91% for Davidson incorporates these fundamentals alongside the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle disruptions. A Democratic surge in turnout or an unforeseen development affecting the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors continue to anchor expectations for a Republican hold on November 3.
規則
本市場將根據在 2026 年期中選舉中贏得美國眾議院 OH-08 國會選區席次的候選人所屬政黨進行結算。期中選舉將於 2026年11月3日 舉行。 候選人的政黨歸屬，將以該候選人在本市場的結算資訊來源明確判定 2026 年所有眾議院選舉結果時，在選票上列明或以其他方式可確認的政黨隸屬關係為準。若候選人的選票上未列明其屬於民主黨或共和黨，則將依據本市場判定來源對所有眾議院選舉作出最終判定時，該候選人最近一次表示有意加入其黨團會議的政黨，將其視為該黨的成員。 本市場將根據可信報導所形成共識指出的選舉結果結算。如有任何歧義，本市場將僅依據美國政府公布的官方結果判定，具體而言，以聯邦選舉委員會（https://www.fec.gov/）公布的結果為準。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。