地緣政治·Starmer·+22027 年前下一位下台的領導人會是誰？

• 列出的領導人是否都不會在 2027 年之前離任？57¢57%
• 班傑明·納坦雅胡會是 2027 年前下一位離任的領導人嗎？35¢35%
• Mahmoud Abbas 會是 2027 年前下一位卸任的領導人嗎？2¢2%
• Sébastien Lecornu 會是在 2027 年之前下一位卸任的領導人嗎？1¢1%
• Pedro Sánchez 會是 2027 年前下一位離任的領導人嗎？1¢1%
• Miguel Díaz-Canel 會是在 2027 年前下一位卸任的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• Friedrich Merz 會是 2027 年前下一位卸任的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• Kim Jong Un 會是 2027 年前下一位下台的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• 沃洛迪米爾·澤倫斯基會是在2027年前下一位下台的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• 習近平會是在 2027 年前下一位卸任的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• 唐納·川普會是下一位在2027年前卸任的領導人嗎？<1¢<1%
• 弗拉基米爾·普丁會是在 2027 年前下台的下一位領導人嗎？<1¢<1%

Traders assign the strongest consensus to no leadership transition before 2027, reflecting entrenched institutional positions and limited near-term electoral or coalition triggers for most incumbents. Netanyahu registers the next-highest implied probability amid ongoing Knesset coalition strains, security policy disputes, and potential early election pressures that could force an exit. Other listed figures, including Zelenskyy, Putin, Xi, and Macron, carry minimal odds given stable parliamentary majorities, constitutional term structures, or absence of scheduled votes through year-end. Scheduled legislative sessions, diplomatic summits, and domestic polling trends in Israel and select European states remain the primary variables that could shift these assessments before resolution.