選舉 · 全球選舉下一任柏林市長兼州長是誰？

下一任柏林市長兼州長是誰？

• Elif Eralp 會成為下一任柏林市長嗎？86¢86%
• Stefan Evers 會成為下一任柏林市長嗎？12¢12%
• Steffen Krach 會成為下一任柏林市長嗎？<1¢<1%
• Werner Graf 會成為下一任柏林市長嗎？<1¢<1%
• Kristin Brinker 會成為下一任柏林市長嗎？<1¢<1%

Die Linke’s 25.7 percent vote share in the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election positioned Elif Eralp as the frontrunner to become Berlin’s next Regierender Bürgermeister, with traders assigning her an 86.5 percent implied probability. The party secured the largest bloc of seats, opening an arithmetic path to a left-leaning coalition with the Greens and SPD that would elect her to the office. Coalition exploratory talks advanced in late October, though internal debates over security concerns and antisemitism allegations tied to party figures introduced minor friction. Stefan Evers of the CDU, whose party finished second at 18.8 percent, holds an 11.9 percent chance under a narrower alternative coalition scenario. Remaining named candidates register negligible shares, reflecting limited realistic paths outside the dominant post-election arithmetic. Resolution awaits formal election by the new parliament, potentially extending into 2027.