- 民主黨會贏得眾議院中屬於 NE-02 的席位嗎？95¢
- 共和黨會贏得 NE-02 的眾議院席位嗎？4¢
Denise Powell holds a commanding lead in the NE-02 open-seat race following incumbent Republican Don Bacon’s retirement, with traders pricing her victory at 95 percent amid the district’s swing character and recent shifts in nonpartisan ratings to Likely Democratic. Powell’s substantial fundraising advantage, grassroots organization, and performance in the October debates on cost-of-living and healthcare issues have reinforced this positioning, while Brinker Harding’s city council record and primary path have not closed the gap in a district that has split federal tickets in recent cycles. With early voting underway ahead of the November 3 election, late developments such as national economic shifts, turnout surprises among independents, or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could still narrow the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.
規則
本市場將根據在 2026 年期中選舉中贏得美國眾議院 NE-02 國會選區席次的候選人所屬政黨進行結算。期中選舉將於 2026年11月3日 舉行。 候選人的政黨歸屬，將以本市場判定來源對所有 2026 年眾議院選舉作出最終判定時，候選人在選票上列明或以其他方式可識別的政黨歸屬為準。若候選人的選票上未列明其屬於民主黨或共和黨，則將依據本市場判定來源對所有眾議院選舉作出最終判定時，該候選人最近一次表示有意加入其黨團會議的政黨，將其視為該黨的成員。 本市場將根據可信報導所形成共識指出的選舉結果結算。如有任何歧義，本市場將僅依據美國政府公布的官方結果判定，具體而言，以聯邦選舉委員會（https://www.fec.gov/）公布的結果為準。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。