- Lisa Cook 會在 10月31日 前卸任美聯儲理事嗎？<1¢<1%
- Lisa Cook 會在 11月30日 前卸任聯準會理事嗎？4¢4%
- Lisa Cook 會在 12月31日 前卸任聯準會理事嗎？9¢9%
President Trump's October 9, 2026, establishment of a White House committee to probe mortgage-fraud allegations against Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, with a November 5 hearing, represents the latest step in efforts to establish "for cause" removal under the Federal Reserve Act. Cook's attorneys have challenged the process's fairness and stated she cannot attend until after the December 8-9 FOMC meeting due to overseas duties, pushing any potential recommendation later. The Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling already invalidated an earlier dismissal attempt on due-process grounds, reinforcing institutional protections for the seven-member Board and Cook's term through 2038. Low market-implied odds for near-term removal reflect trader assessment of these procedural and legal barriers amid ongoing litigation and no criminal charges.
規則
如果 Lisa Cook 在指定日期 下午11:59 ET 前正式不再擔任美國聯邦準備理事會理事，這個市場將以「是」結算。否則，將以 「否」 結算。 Lisa Cook 必須依照適用於該職位的法律、規則或程序，正式不再擔任指定職位。宣布將於未來離職不符合條件。離職方式不影響結算；辭職、免職、解職或其他方式均符合條件。 臨時休假、有期限的停職、無限期停職、行政休假，或指定人員在指定職位上的職責發生其他臨時變動，均不符合條件。 此市場的結算依據為聯邦準備理事會提供的資訊；不過，可信報導形成的共識也足以作為依據。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。