- 共和黨會在 2027 年贏得肯塔基州州長選舉嗎？59¢59%
- 民主黨會在 2027 年贏得肯塔基州州長選舉嗎？37¢37%
18%58.5%共和黨成交量 $7359.4
16%36.5%民主黨成交量 $9000.7
Republican traders hold a 62.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky governor race, ahead of Democrats at 38.5%, reflecting an open-seat contest in a Republican-leaning state. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is term-limited after two consecutive terms and ineligible to run again, removing the advantage of incumbency. On the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former state House leader Rocky Adkins are the primary declared candidates, with early polling showing a competitive primary. Republicans expect U.S. Rep. James Comer to enter as the frontrunner, backed by unified party support and recent endorsements from figures like outgoing Secretary of State Michael Adams; lesser-known candidates such as Rick Hardin and Charles Martin have filed but trail in visibility. Kentucky’s recent federal voting patterns and legislative control favor the GOP, though the general election remains more than a year away with primaries set for May 2027.
規則
此市場將根據 2027 年肯塔基州州長選舉的勝選者結算。 若某候選人獲相關政黨提名，則視為代表該政黨。民主黨或共和黨提名人選以外的候選人（例如綠黨、自由意志黨或無黨籍候選人）可能會在日後加入。 以無黨籍身分參選的候選人，不論其與該政黨有任何關聯，都不會納入「民主黨」或「共和黨」選項。 本市場的結算依據為 Associated Press、Fox News 和 NBC。三個來源都宣布同一位候選人勝選後，本市場即會結算。如果三個消息來源都未在此州宣布同一位候選人勝選，此市場將根據官方認證結果結算。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。