以色列和敘利亞會在……之前實現關係正常化嗎?
敘利亞中東以色列地緣政治世界Trump x al-Sharaa
開始時間
2025-06-02
結束時間
2027-01-01
24小時成交量
$3K
總成交量
$2.2M
  • Israel 和 Syria 會在 2026年12月31日 前實現關係正常化嗎?8¢8%

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated on October 29 that Damascus is actively pursuing a US-involved security agreement with Israel as a potential gateway to broader diplomatic understandings, while insisting on respect for Syria’s claim to the Golan Heights and a return to the 1974 disengagement lines. Ongoing Israeli military operations and a buffer zone in southern Syria have prompted repeated Damascus condemnations and calls for international pressure, even as US-mediated talks in August explored de-escalation measures. Israel’s October 27 parliamentary elections, which could produce a less hard-line government, introduce potential shifts in approach toward stabilizing the northern border and addressing shared concerns over Iran and regional actors. These security frictions, territorial disputes, and external mediation efforts remain the central variables shaping prospects for any formal normalization.

規則

如果 Israel 和 Syria 在 2026年12月31日 下午11:59 ET 前正式宣布建立外交關係,此市場將判定為「是」。否則,此市場將以「否」結算。 此市場的主要判定來源將是 Israel 和 Syria 的官方資訊,但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。

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以色列和敘利亞會在……之前實現關係正常化嗎?

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