- Howard Lutnick 會在 12月31日 前卸任商務部長嗎？20¢20%
Howard Lutnick continues to serve as the active U.S. Secretary of Commerce with no public indications of resignation, removal, or transition as of mid-November 2026. He has led recent efforts to restart Canada-U.S. trade discussions focused on Section 232 tariffs for steel, aluminum, lumber, and autos, while advancing talks on an India bilateral agreement and semiconductor tariff frameworks. These developments align with his established role overseeing Commerce Department tariff and investment matters under the Trump administration. Absent any announced departures, Senate actions, or White House signals of change within the narrow window to year-end, trader consensus assigns a high implied probability that Lutnick will remain in the position through December 31.
規則
如果 Howard Lutnick 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 期間的任何時候不再擔任美國商務部長，此市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在此市場結束日期之前宣布 Lutnick 辭職或遭免職，無論該辭職或免職何時生效，此市場都將立即以「是」結算。 本市場的結算來源將是特朗普政府的官方資訊，但也可採用可信報導所形成的共識。
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