- Claire Danes –《野獸在我》會在2026年艾美獎獲得限定或選集影集/電視電影最佳女主角獎嗎？7¢
- 莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》是否會在2026年艾美獎獲得有限或選集劇集/電視電影最佳女主角獎？16¢
- 限定或選集系列或電視電影最佳女主角？35¢
- Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》會在2026年艾美獎獲得最佳限定劇或選集劇集/電視電影女主角獎嗎？25¢
- 莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》會贏得2026年艾美獎：限定劇／選集劇集或電視電影最佳女主角嗎？14¢
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Beef Season 2’s robust 16 Emmy nominations, including strong limited series recognition, have positioned Carey Mulligan as the market leader at 35% implied probability by underscoring voter enthusiasm for her unhinged turn as Lindsay. Sarah Pidgeon trails at 25.3% after Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette earned only six nods despite early buzz and her breakout performance, a shortfall that highlights the impact of precursor momentum and total show support. Sally Field (15.8%) and Sarah Snook (14.5%) remain viable contenders through veteran appeal and Succession pedigree, respectively, while Claire Danes sits at 7.6%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, traders are weighing Beef’s category dominance against the competitive field of five nominees in this tightly contested race.