- 伊隆馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈少於40則推文嗎？26¢
- Elon Musk 會在 2026 年 9 月 7 日至 9 月 9 日之間發佈 40 至 64 則推文嗎？47¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈65-89條推文嗎？22¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈90至114則推文嗎？5¢
- 從2026年9月7日至9月9日，Elon Musk 會發佈115-139則推文嗎？1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9日之間發佈165至189條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈240條以上推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈190到214則推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發佈140到164條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月7日至9月9日期間發布215至239則推文嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bracket highest at 46.5% implied probability for Elon Musk’s September 7-9 output because recent three-day windows have clustered in the low-to-mid 40s to low 60s during periods without major catalysts. Recent settlements show Musk averaging roughly 20-30 posts daily amid steady Tesla and xAI commentary, producing totals that favor this range over quieter or more active bins. The <40 outcome at 26% reflects weekend slowdown potential, while the 22% on 65-89 accounts for possible news-driven spikes. With no imminent product launches, policy developments, or platform controversies flagged ahead of the period, the market consensus aligns with Musk’s established baseline cadence rather than outlier volume.