- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發布少於40則推文嗎？20¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克於2026年9月10日至9月12日期間會發佈40至64則推文嗎？46¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發佈90至114條推文嗎？7¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日之間發佈115-139條推文嗎？<1¢
- 馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發佈140至164條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發佈215到239條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在 2026 年 9 月 10 日到 9 月 12 日發佈超過 240 則推文嗎？<1¢
- 馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發佈65至89條推文嗎？26¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間會發佈165至189條推文嗎？<1¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年9月10日至9月12日期間發佈190至214則推文嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for September 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 46% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 25.5% and sub-40 at 20%. This positioning reflects recent weekly settlements showing a shift toward moderate output after August’s elevated 880–919 monthly total, with early September periods resolving in lower brackets such as <40 and 65–89. Musk’s posting pace has fluctuated with platform updates, Grok-related activity, and commentary on X usage trends, but no dominant catalyst—such as major product launches, political developments, or company news—has emerged to drive sustained high-volume days in the immediate term. Short three-day windows like this one historically align with steadier daily rates around 13–30 posts when external events remain quiet, supporting the market’s lean toward the 40–64 range while leaving room for upside if late-week engagement spikes. Traders are pricing in the inherent variability of celebrity and platform-driven posting rather than assuming continued August-level intensity.