- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?9¢
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?7¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 180–259 tweet range, with the top three brackets each commanding 12.5–13.5% implied probability, reflecting the market’s assessment of Musk’s typical weekly cadence on X. Recent data shows sharp week-to-week swings—119 posts in the August 18–24 window versus prior stretches exceeding 250—driven by business updates from Tesla and SpaceX, Grok-related announcements, and responses to cultural or policy debates. With no singular high-impact catalyst confirmed for the coming days, volume will hinge on whether routine engagement or a quiet stretch prevails, leaving the outcome sensitive to daily momentum shifts and any surprise platform or industry developments.