- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈140到159則推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈160到179條推文嗎？3¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日發佈200至219條推文嗎？16¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈220至239條推文嗎？23¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈280至299條推文嗎？8¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈320-339則推文嗎？2¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發布360-379條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈380到399條推文嗎？<1¢
- 伊隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈400到419則推文嗎？<1¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈460至479條推文嗎？<1¢
- 埃隆·馬斯克會在2026年8月21日至8月28日期間發佈480-499條推文嗎？<1¢
- 從2026年8月21日至8月28日，Elon Musk會發佈120-139則推文嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see the 220-239 and 240-259 brackets as frontrunners because Elon Musk’s established weekly cadence on X—roughly 28-31 posts per day—projects a 200-260 total for the Aug 21-28 window, consistent with prior Polymarket resolutions. Recent activity reinforces this range: a 63-tweet day on Aug 22 driven by Grok Voice and Starlink updates, plus steady replies on AI capabilities, fertility trends, and platform features, has kept momentum near the middle of the distribution. With four days remaining, any surge from breaking tech announcements or a slowdown tied to travel could shift the outcome, though historical patterns and current volume suggest the two leading bins capture the strongest trader consensus.