This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s August 2026 tweet volume market shows tight clustering between the 880-919 and 920-959 brackets because recent daily posting rates have hovered near 28–35 originals, reposts, and quotes, consistent with his established cadence on X. Sub-period trackers reveal volatility—moderate stretches of 40–64 posts over three days alternating with higher-volume windows of 90–114 or more—driven by ongoing commentary on xAI, SpaceX, Tesla, and broader cultural or political threads rather than major product launches or election spikes this month. With roughly six days remaining, traders weigh whether steady engagement or any late-month catalyst could push the final tally higher, keeping the top two outcomes nearly even while lower and higher brackets trade at thinner implied probabilities.