- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?73¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?20¢
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?4¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?3¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see the 320-339 bracket as the clear frontrunner because Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm on X has settled near 40 posts daily, matching 2025-2026 weekday averages when no major product launches, political flashpoints, or platform controversies intervene. Trackers show steady output without the 100-plus spikes seen during earlier crises, keeping volume inside the market’s most probable window for the eight-day span. The absence of last-minute announcements or viral threads in the past 48 hours has reinforced this consensus, while the period’s close today leaves little room for a late surge to push totals into higher bins. Historical patterns confirm that quiet stretches produce totals clustered tightly around these levels rather than extremes.