Javier Milei leads trader pricing in the 2027 Argentine presidential race as the incumbent heading La Libertad Avanza, supported by his core voter base despite government disapproval ratings often exceeding 55 percent amid persistent economic pressures. Axel Kicillof follows as the primary Peronist challenger and Buenos Aires governor, benefiting from stronger personal image metrics in recent surveys and consolidation efforts within opposition ranks. Sergio Massa ranks third on residual name recognition from prior national roles. Polling averages show Milei and Kicillof in a near-dead heat or slight Milei edge in first-round scenarios, with runoff projections frequently within the margin of error, while smaller shares for figures such as Myriam Bregman and Patricia Bullrich reflect fragmented support outside the main contest. The October 2027 election remains more than eleven months away, leaving room for shifts from economic data, primary processes, or coalition alignments.
阿根廷預定於2027年10月24日舉行的總統選舉。 本市場將根據下一屆阿根廷總統選舉的勝選候選人(須為列出的候選人)結算。 本市場包含任何可能的第二輪投票。 若截至2028年10月31日 下午11:59 ET仍無法確定結果,本市場將結算為「其他」。 本市場將根據本次選舉的結果結算,結果以可信媒體報導的共識為準。如有歧義,本市場將僅根據阿根廷政府來源公布的官方結果結算,包括 Cámara Nacional Electoral(https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php)和 Dirección Nacional Electoral(https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine)。
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