- Alexandre de Moraes 會卸任巴西最高法院法官嗎？25¢
Right-wing gains in Brazil’s October 2026 legislative elections have strengthened calls for Alexandre de Moraes’ removal from the Supreme Federal Court, with Bolsonaro allies nearing the 54 Senate votes needed for impeachment over his role in convictions tied to the former president and recent probes. Multiple impeachment petitions have accumulated, fueled by a Banco Master banking scandal implicating court communications and internal STF disputes that prompted Chief Justice Edson Fachin to reassign inquiries. No justice has ever been removed by the Senate, however, and advancement depends on the chamber president’s discretion amid constitutional tenure protections and potential negotiations involving moderate lawmakers. These procedural and institutional hurdles, combined with the new Senate convening only in 2027, sustain trader consensus that Moraes will remain in office through the resolution window.
規則
如果 Alexandre de Moraes 在市場建立至 2026年12月31日, 下午11:59 ET 之間的任何一段時間不再擔任巴西聯邦最高法院大法官，本市場將判定為「是」。否則，此市場將判定為「否」。 若在本市場結束日期之前宣布 Alexandre de Moraes 辭職或遭免職，無論所宣布的辭職或免職何時生效，本市場都將立即判定為「是」。 本市場的判定依據將是 Alexandre de Moraes 和巴西政府的官方資訊；但也可採用可信報導的共識。
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