- Google, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?63¢%63
- Anthropic, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?25¢%25
- OpenAI, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?5¢%5
- Thinky Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?3¢%3
- Meta, 2027 Ocak ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?3¢%3
- SpaceXAI, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeli olacak mı?2¢%2
- Alibaba'nın 2027 Ocak ayı sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?2¢%2
- Z.ai 2027 Ocak ayı sonunda bir numaralı yapay zeka modeli olacak mı?1¢%1
- Mistral, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?1¢%1
- Meituan, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Xiaomi, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeline sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- DeepSeek, Ocak 2027 sonunda 1 numaralı yapay zeka modeli olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%12%62,5Google$6,4 B hacim
%8%24,5Anthropic$6,5 B hacim
%5,3OpenAI$488,4 hacim
%3,5Thinky$1,2 B hacim
%5%2,5Meta$722,3 hacim
%1%2,1SpaceXAI$551,1 hacim
%1,8Alibaba$436,7 hacim
%1%1,2Z.ai$691,6 hacim
%1,1Mistral$700,7 hacim
%1Meituan$319,4 hacim
%0,8Xiaomi$651,2 hacim
%0,8DeepSeek$471,5 hacim
Trader consensus reflects a closely contested race for the top AI model by end of January, with Google holding a narrow market-implied lead at 51.5% amid a cluster of contenders clustered near 50%. Competitive dynamics center on demonstrated capabilities in large language models, including scaling laws, benchmark performance on reasoning and multimodal tasks, and rapid iteration cycles from labs like Anthropic and OpenAI. Key swing factors include potential new releases or capability jumps before resolution, alongside competitive positioning in developer adoption and enterprise deployment. The tight odds underscore uncertainty in AI forecasting, where product timelines frequently shift and third-party evaluations can alter sentiment quickly.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2027, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".