- SpaceX Starship 15. Uçuş Testi 15 Kasım 2026'ya kadar fırlatılacak mı?7¢%7
- SpaceX Starship Uçuş Testi 15, 30 Kasım 2026'ya kadar fırlatılacak mı?94¢%94
- SpaceX Starship Uçuş Testi 15'te Super Heavy güçlendiricisi patlayacak mı?25¢%25
- SpaceX Starship Uçuş Testi 15'teki Starship başarılı bir şekilde suya iniş gerçekleştirecek mi?35¢%35
- Chopstick'ler SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy roketini yakalayacak mı?75¢%75
- SpaceX Starship Uçuş Testi 15'te, çubuklar Starship'i yakalayacak mı?52¢%52
- %1%715 Kasım 2026$9,2 B hacim
- %5%93,630 Kasım 2026$14,9 B hacim
- %7%24,5Super Heavy güçlendiricisi patlar mı?$5,6 B hacim
- %14%35Başarılı suya iniş?$1,5 B hacim
- %3%75Chopstick'ler Super Heavy roketi yakalar mı?$7,5 B hacim
- %1%52Çubuklar Starship'i yakalar mı?$11,4 B hacim
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15.
SpaceX has completed full-duration static fires for Super Heavy Booster 22 and Ship 42 in late October, clearing key ground-test milestones ahead of Starship Flight 15. Elon Musk and Gwynne Shotwell confirmed in October earnings remarks that the mission will attempt the first simultaneous tower catch of both the booster and upper stage using Mechazilla arms at Starbase, following Flight 14’s orbital success. The FAA license remains pending while air-traffic planning slides list a no-earlier-than date of November 12. Traders are pricing a launch by November 30 at high implied probability due to rapid vehicle turnaround and regulatory momentum, though any delay in licensing or last-minute technical issues could shift the timeline. Flight 16 preparations and Starlink payload integration add competitive pressure for operational cadence.
Kurallar
If the 15th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.