- Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?32¢32 %
- Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?54¢54 %
- Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?59¢59 %
- 9 %31,9 %December 31, 2026Volym 88,6 tn $
- 14 %53,5 %March 31, 2027Volym 24,9 tn $
- 10 %59 %June 30, 2027Volym 11,3 tn $
Recent Republican midterm losses, widely linked to public backlash against the Iran war, have intensified bipartisan pressure on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and prompted renewed impeachment efforts in the lame-duck House. Republican Representative Thomas Massie plans to force a floor vote on articles next week, citing alleged violations of the War Powers Resolution through unauthorized military operations and related conduct. Hegseth has issued a defiant public response defending the campaign as necessary, while President Trump continues to express support and dismiss replacement talk. A simple majority could advance articles in the current chamber, though Senate conviction remains unlikely; Democrats gaining control in January could shift dynamics toward investigations or further proceedings. Traders weigh these procedural timelines and cross-party defections against institutional barriers.
Regler
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.