- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?28¢28 %
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?17¢17 %
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?13¢13 %
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢5 %
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4¢4 %
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4¢4 %
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4¢4 %
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3¢3 %
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2 %
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2 %
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2 %
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2 %
1 %27,6 %Jon OssoffVolym 14,6 mn $
3 %17,3 %Alexandria Ocasio-CortezVolym 15,9 mn $
12,5 %Gavin NewsomVolym 28,2 mn $
4,9 %Kamala HarrisVolym 14,7 mn $
4,5 %Pete ButtigiegVolym 12,3 mn $
1 %4,2 %Josh ShapiroVolym 10,6 mn $
3,8 %Andy BeshearVolym 13,7 mn $
1 %2,9 %James TalaricoVolym 11,9 mn $
2,3 %Raphael WarnockVolym 34,6 mn $
2,2 %Wes MooreVolym 18,7 mn $
2 %Mark KellyVolym 18,2 mn $
1,5 %Ro KhannaVolym 11,7 mn $
The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination remains highly fluid nearly two years before primaries, with trader consensus reflected in current odds showing Jon Ossoff ahead due to his Senate record in a battleground state and broad electability profile. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gavin Newsom follow as visible alternatives representing progressive and establishment wings, while lower probabilities for figures like Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg capture lingering national name recognition tempered by past electoral results. No major candidate announcements, midterm outcomes, or polling shifts have occurred in the past 30 days to alter positioning, leaving the field open to future developments such as fundraising hauls, state-level performances, or emerging challengers that could consolidate support among party delegates and voters.
Regler
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.