- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?11¢11 %
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?6¢6 %
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?2¢2 %
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?2¢2 %
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?2¢2 %
- 1 %11 %Above 4.5%Volym 266,3 tn $
- 1 %5,5 %Above 5%Volym 347,5 tn $
- 2,2 %Above 6%Volym 75,5 tn $
- 2,3 %Above 8%Volym 42,7 tn $
- 1,8 %Above 10%Volym 61,3 tn $
Recent U.S. CPI data show inflation reaccelerating to 3.7% year-over-year in September 2026, with October and November nowcasts pointing toward 3.7–4.15% amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical supply disruptions, tariff effects, and AI-driven demand for electronics. Core measures remain sticky near 2.6–3.3%, supported by resilient consumer spending, strong GDP growth above 3% annualized in recent quarters, and a labor market where job gains match workforce expansion. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.75–4% in late October, with two dissents favoring a hike and language emphasizing further data before easing. Traders are watching the November 10 CPI release and December FOMC meeting for signals on whether 2026 peaks exceed 4% or moderate toward the 2% target.
Regler
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.