- Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?61¢61 %
- Will Harold Burbano win the next Quito mayoral election?19¢19 %
- Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?11¢11 %
- Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?3¢3 %
- Will Linda Romero win the next Quito mayoral election?2¢2 %
- Will Galo Almeida win the next Quito mayoral election?2¢2 %
- Will Carla Larrea win the next Quito mayoral election?<1¢<1 %
- Will César Díaz win the next Quito mayoral election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Paúl Desamblanc win the next Quito mayoral election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Bernardo Jijón win the next Quito mayoral election?<1¢<1 %
60,5 %Pabel MuñozVol. 2,3 K $
10 %19 %Harold BurbanoVol. 1,4 K $
5 %10,5 %Jorge YundaVol. 924 $
8 %3,1 %Wilson MerinoVol. 1,4 K $
2 %2,1 %Linda RomeroVol. 1,4 K $
2,1 %Galo AlmeidaVol. 475,9 $
1 %1 %Carla LarreaVol. 826,2 $
0,5 %César DíazVol. 861,4 $
0,4 %Paúl DesamblancVol. 433,3 $
0,2 %Bernardo JijónVol. 411,3 $
The Quito mayoral race for the November 29, 2026, election features ten qualified candidates, with incumbent Pabel Muñoz of Alianza Ciudadana seeking re-election against a fragmented field that includes Harold Burbano of ADN, former mayor Jorge Yunda of Avanza, and several lower-polling contenders. The campaign period, which runs through November 26, opened with Muñoz launching events in southern and northern districts while a temporary acting mayor oversees municipal operations. A CNE-scheduled debate on November 22 groups Muñoz and Burbano together, providing a key platform for direct comparison on security, mobility, and services. Recent polling shows Burbano holding a narrow lead, yet the multi-candidate structure and incumbency dynamics sustain a tight contest. Traders appear to price in Muñoz's name recognition and organizational base as factors that could consolidate support before election day, while noting that late shifts in undecided voters or debate outcomes could alter the balance among the top contenders.
Reguli
The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).