- Will CPRF win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?<1¢
- Will LDPR win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?1¢
- Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?97¢
- Will A Just Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?<1¢
- Will New People win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?<1¢
- Will Party of Pensioners win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?1¢
- Will Communists of Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?<1¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, driven by its status as the ruling party with full candidate slates across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, headed by Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev. The party benefits from established regional structures, recent primaries that renewed its candidate pool, and alignment with the concurrent federal legislative vote. Other registered parties—including CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners—have fielded lists and nominees but face structural barriers such as the 5% threshold and limited single-mandate strength. Trader consensus pricing reflects these institutional and organizational factors, though late developments like candidate disqualifications or shifts in turnout could still influence final seat totals.