- Stephen A. Smith vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata em 2028?<1¢
- Gretchen Whitmer ganhará a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?<1¢
- Oprah Winfrey ganhará a indicação presidencial democrata em 2028?<1¢
- Abigail Spanberger conquistará a indicação presidencial democrata em 2028?<1¢
- Adam Schiff ganhará a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?<1¢
- Andy Beshear vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?2¢
- James Talarico vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?2¢
- Josh Stein ganhará a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?<1¢
- Pete Buttigieg vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?5¢
- Jon Ossoff vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?15¢
- Gina Raimondo vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?<1¢
- Alex Padilla vencerá a indicação presidencial democrata de 2028?<1¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The Democratic presidential nomination field for 2028 remains fragmented more than two years out, with no candidate consolidating broad support and trader probabilities reflecting that dispersion across ideological and geographic lines. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds the plurality on the strength of her national profile within the progressive wing and consistent fundraising visibility, while Jon Ossoff and Gavin Newsom sit close behind on the basis of Senate electoral success in a swing state and executive experience in the nation’s largest state. Kamala Harris and other former 2024 figures trail further as attention shifts to newer or regionally anchored names. The race stays tight because midterms, early state polling trends, and potential endorsements have yet to reorder the field, leaving multiple paths open depending on turnout patterns, coalition building, and any late policy or legal developments that could elevate or sideline contenders.