- O Rússia Unida (ER) obterá menos de 40% dos votos de lista partidária na eleição da Duma Estatal da Rússia de 2026?<1¢
- O Rússia Unida (ER) obterá de 40% a 45% dos votos de lista partidária na eleição para a Duma Estatal Russa de 2026?<1¢
- O Rússia Unida (ER) conquistará 45-50% dos votos de legenda nas eleições para a Duma Estatal Russa de 2026?1¢
- O Rússia Unida (ER) ganhará 50-55% dos votos por lista partidária na eleição para a Duma Estatal Russa de 2026?22¢
- O Rússia Unida (ER) ganhará de 55 a 60% dos votos de lista partidária na eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia em 2026?76¢
- O Rússia Unida (ER) ganhará 60% ou mais dos votos de lista partidária nas eleições para a Duma Estatal Russa de 2026?4¢
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.