Recent Republican setbacks in the 2026 midterms have heightened uncertainty over the 2028 presidential nominee, keeping the vice-presidential field fragmented among figures with distinct profiles. Marco Rubio leads at 27% due to his Senate tenure, foreign-policy role, and broad party appeal, while Tucker Carlson sits at 23.7% from strong media influence within conservative circles. Brian Kemp and Rand Paul follow with executive and libertarian credentials that attract specific blocs. No single contender has consolidated support, as traders weigh Senate confirmation patterns, primary dynamics, and potential ticket-balancing needs. Upcoming legislative sessions, early primary signals, or explicit endorsements from party leaders could shift probabilities by clarifying alignments or highlighting electability gaps.
Este mercado será resolvido com base na primeira pessoa formalmente indicada pelo Partido Republicano para o cargo de vice-presidente dos Estados Unidos no ciclo eleitoral presidencial de 2028 que aceitar a indicação. A resolução deste mercado terá como base o consenso de fontes oficiais do GOP, incluindo https://www.gop.com. Qualquer substituição do candidato nomeado antes do dia da eleição não alterará a resolução do mercado.
Tradução automática. Em caso de divergência, prevalece o original.