- O prefeito de Nova York fará entre 120 e 139 publicações de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará de 0 a 19 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?2¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará entre 140 e 159 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O Prefeito de NYC fará entre 80 e 99 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará de 100 a 119 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará de 40 a 59 publicações de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?11¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará entre 60 e 79 publicações de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará de 20 a 39 publicações entre 8 e 15 de setembro de 2026?84¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará entre 160 e 179 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará entre 180 e 199 postagens de 8 a 15 de setembro de 2026?1¢
- O prefeito de Nova York fará mais de 200 publicações entre 8 e 15 de setembro de 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of 20-39 posts per week in recent comparable periods, driven by routine municipal updates on public safety, transportation, education policy, and seasonal preparations. Traders assign the 83.5% probability to this range for September 8-15 because no major crises, budget deadlines, or high-profile events are scheduled that would trigger elevated volume, while the early-September window aligns with standard operational communications. The 10% odds on 40-59 and single-digit shares on outliers reflect limited expectation of spikes from 9/11-related activity or other catalysts, consistent with historical patterns on the account since the administration transition.