- Se Nothing acontecer algum dia: Obama96¢96%
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
Regras
Este mercado será resolvido como "Something" se qualquer uma das condições a seguir for atendida entre a criação do mercado e 31 de dezembro de 2026, 23:59 ET: - Obama é acusado em âmbito federal - Obama é preso - Obama se divorcia Caso contrário, este mercado será resolvido como "Nothing". As regras completas deste mercado podem ser encontradas aqui: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
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