- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?14¢14 %
- Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?13¢13 %
- Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?13¢13 %
- Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?10¢10 %
- Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?6¢6 %
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?6¢6 %
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?5¢5 %
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?5¢5 %
- Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?4¢4 %
1 %13,9 %Elon MuskVolum 67,1k $
1 %13 %Ryan SalameVolum 35,8k $
1 %13 %Keonne RodriguezVolum 21k $- 5 %10 %Donald BrodieVolum 21,1k $
- 1 %5,8 %HimselfVolum 35,8k $
- 1 %5,7 %Steve BannonVolum 14,1k $
- 1 %5,4 %Daniel PennyVolum 2k $
- 4,8 %Roger StoneVolum 11,8k $
- 3 %4,3 %Stefan BrodieVolum 5k $
- 4,1 %DiddyVolum 36,3k $
- 4,1 %Young ThugVolum 5,5k $
4,1 %Ghislaine MaxwellVolum 31,7k $
President Trump has signaled readiness to issue preemptive pardons for administration staff, allies, and figures such as Elon Musk if Democrats gain House control after the 2026 midterms and pursue investigations. This follows his earlier grants of clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day in 2025, plus pardons in late 2025 for Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows, Sidney Powell, John Eastman, and others tied to 2020 election challenges. Recent Justice Department actions, including efforts to vacate Steve Bannon’s contempt conviction, illustrate ongoing use of executive authority to address prior cases. Market focus centers on the scope of future grants before 2027, driven by congressional dynamics, potential probes, and the limits of federal pardons on state matters.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.