- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?21¢21 %
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20¢20 %
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12¢12 %
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9¢9 %
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7¢7 %
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?6¢6 %
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?4¢4 %
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2¢2 %
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2¢2 %
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢1 %
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢1 %
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1¢1 %
1 %21,3 %Jon OssoffVolum 6,6 mill. $
4 %20,5 %JD VanceVolum 18,7 mill. $
1 %12,1 %Alexandria Ocasio-CortezVolum 14,4 mill. $
1 %9,2 %Marco RubioVolum 13,4 mill. $
7,3 %Gavin NewsomVolum 19,1 mill. $
1 %5,8 %Ron DeSantisVolum 12,9 mill. $
1 %3,6 %Kamala HarrisVolum 9,7 mill. $
2,5 %Pete ButtigiegVolum 8,7 mill. $
2,3 %Josh ShapiroVolum 7,8 mill. $
1,5 %James TalaricoVolum 8,6 mill. $
1,4 %Donald TrumpVolum 11 mill. $
1,3 %Andy BeshearVolum 19,5 mill. $
The fragmented probabilities in the 2028 presidential election market reflect an early-cycle field without an established frontrunner, as traders spread exposure across potential nominees from both parties amid uncertainty over primary dynamics and coalition shifts. Jon Ossoff and JD Vance lead at roughly 21% and 18%, followed by several others in the low teens or single digits, underscoring the competitive positioning typical before formal announcements or polling consolidation. Key factors sustaining the tight distribution include varying levels of national visibility, Senate and gubernatorial records, and party infrastructure strength, with no candidate yet demonstrating consistent dominance in swing-state or donor metrics. Upcoming developments such as 2026 midterm results, candidate entry timelines, and early primary polling could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths through electoral vote thresholds and turnout patterns.
Regler
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.