- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?6¢6 %
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2027?30¢30 %
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2027?66¢66 %
- 3 %6,4 %December 31, 2026Volum 111,9k $
- 8 %29,5 %June 30, 2027Volum 25 $
- 9 %66 %December 31, 2027
Ukraine’s presidential and parliamentary elections remain blocked by repeated extensions of martial law, most recently approved by the Verkhovna Rada through 29 January 2027, which constitutionally prohibits voting during the regime. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has conditioned any vote on a verifiable 60-day ceasefire and security guarantees, while polls show roughly 70 percent of Ukrainians oppose wartime elections and favor holding them only after hostilities end or a peace agreement is reached. External pressure from U.S. officials has not altered Kyiv’s position that credible balloting requires months of post-ceasefire stability, legislative adjustments, and arrangements for displaced voters and military personnel. The next parliamentary review of martial law and any diplomatic progress on a ceasefire represent the primary near-term variables that could shift the timeline for calling an election.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.