- Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?32¢32 %
- Will Radovan Višković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?18¢18 %
- Will Edin Forto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?11¢11 %
- Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?8¢8 %
- Will Zukan Helez be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?5¢5 %
- Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?5¢5 %
- Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?5¢5 %
- Will Saša Magazinović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?5¢5 %
- Will Staša Košarac be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?4¢4 %
- Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?4¢4 %
- Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?3¢3 %
- Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?2¢2 %
3 %32,2 %Denis BećirovićVolum 364,6 $
18,3 %Radovan ViškovićVolum 122,1 $
11,1 %Edin FortoVolum 1,3k $
3 %8,3 %Željko KomšićVolum 2,2k $
5,5 %Zukan HelezVolum 1,9k $
1 %5,2 %Denis ZvizdićVolum 17,1k $
5 %Srđan AmidžićVolum 13,2k $
2 %4,8 %Saša MagazinovićVolum 1,2k $
4,3 %Staša KošaracVolum 1,4k $
3,6 %Sabina ĆudićVolum 1,4k $
3,2 %Nermin NikšićVolum 34,4k $
2,3 %Nebojša VukanovićVolum 5,5k $
The market for the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina remains tightly contested because the three-member Presidency nominates the candidate, subject to House of Representatives confirmation, under strict ethnic and entity representation rules that require broad coalition support. General elections on 4 October 2026 produced a new Presidency lineup—Denis Bećirović (Bosniak, re-elected), Darijana Filipović (Croat, HDZ BiH), and Željka Cvijanović (Serb, re-elected)—that assumes office on 16 November 2026. This shift, combined with the fragmented results in the House of Representatives (SDA, SNSD, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH holding the largest blocs), has left trader consensus dispersed across dozens of potential nominees. Current chairwoman Borjana Krišto sits at low implied probability, while figures such as Bećirović, Radovan Višković, Edin Forto, and Zukan Helez lead the field amid ongoing coalition talks. The evenly matched odds reflect the structural need for agreement among the incoming Presidency members and major parties on a nominee who can secure parliamentary approval. Recent High Representative reporting and post-election statements highlight persistent institutional blockages and the slow pace of government formation. Key upcoming catalysts include the first sessions of the new parliamentary term, any Presidency nomination, and coalition deals that could consolidate support behind one candidate or open pathways for others.
Regler
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.