- Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?67¢67 %
- Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?26¢26 %
- Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?5¢5 %
- Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?1¢1 %
- Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Carlos Herrera Tello win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gabriela Molina Aguilar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Celeste Ascencio Ortega win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Esteban González Nava win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?<1¢<1 %
1 %66,8 %Carlos Torres PiñaVolum 18,8k $
3 %26 %Grecia QuirozVolum 8,9k $
2 %5,2 %Alfonso Martínez AlcázarVolum 2,6k $
1,1 %Gladyz Butanda MacíasVolum 17k $
0,7 %Raúl Morón OrozcoVolum 3,5k $
0,2 %Fabiola Alanís SámanoVolum 7,5k $
0,2 %Carlos Herrera TelloVolum 1,3k $
Carlos Torres Piña leads the Michoacán gubernatorial race for June 6, 2027, as Morena’s designated coordinator, reflecting the party’s consistent edge in October 2026 surveys where he registers 27–30% support compared with Alfonso Martínez Alcázar’s 16–20% for the PAN. Recent polling from GobernArte, Demoscopia, and others shows Morena and allies holding 41% partisan preference, aided by Torres Piña’s prior roles as state fiscal and government secretary plus internal party consolidation in September 2026. Trader pricing at 66.8% for Torres Piña aligns with this Morena structural advantage, while Grecia Quiroz at 26% draws from her visibility as Uruapan mayor and successor following the 2025 assassination of Carlos Manzo, though her independent or MC route has not yet overtaken the frontrunner in most measurements. Fragmented opposition candidacies and ongoing federal security initiatives further anchor current consensus around the leading Morena profile.
Regler
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.