트럼프·중국·+7트럼프는 APEC 순방이 끝나기 전에 중국의 대만 영유권 주장을 지지할까?

• 트럼프는 APEC 순방이 끝날 때까지 중국의 대만 영유권 주장을 지지할까요?1¢1%

US President Donald Trump’s scheduled meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen have not produced any public signals that he will issue an explicit endorsement of Beijing’s sovereignty claim over Taiwan. Recent midterm election results have left Trump facing a divided Congress, limiting room for major concessions on Taiwan that could draw domestic criticism. US policy continues to emphasize strategic ambiguity, arms support for Taipei, and the longstanding One China framework without affirming PRC territorial assertions. Traders assign only a 1.3% chance to a “Yes” outcome because the resolution standard requires a clear public statement rather than routine diplomatic language or trade discussions. Late developments during the summit or subsequent G20 talks remain the narrowest paths that could alter this consensus.