- 마린 르펜이 2027년 프랑스 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?32¢
- 에릭 제무르가 2027년 프랑스 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?<1¢
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- 프랑수아 올랑드는 2027년 프랑스 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?3¢
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- 파비앵 루셀은 2027년 프랑스 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?<1¢
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Marine Le Pen maintains her position as the clear frontrunner in polling aggregates for the 2027 French presidential election, buoyed by National Rally voter loyalty and her recent candidacy declaration following a favorable court ruling on eligibility. Édouard Philippe leads moderate contenders but trails amid a crowded centrist field that includes Gabriel Attal and others, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon's recent poll surge to the mid-teens raises the prospect of a first-round runoff between the political extremes. This fragmentation of center and left votes, combined with low single-digit support for numerous other declared or potential candidates, sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Scheduled developments such as party conventions and further polling ahead of the April 2027 vote could consolidate support or widen gaps.