- Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?1¢
- Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?97¢
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?2¢
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official communications during the September 1–8, 2026 window have so far followed the established pattern of infrequent, statement-driven releases rather than high-volume social media activity. Official channels such as Khamenei.ir and Telegram continue to publish written messages on topics including condolences, national unity, and responses to regional developments, while X posts from verified accounts like @MKhamenei_ir remain limited in number. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.2% probability for fewer than five posts aligns with this historically low cadence, shaped by the post-conflict environment and preference for formal written statements over daily platform engagement. A major escalation, high-profile death, or scheduled religious or political anniversary within the remaining days could prompt additional releases and test the current odds.