- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 40-64개의 트윗을 올릴까요?100¢100%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 트윗을 40개 미만으로 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 65~89개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 트윗을 90~114개 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 115-139개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 엘론 머스크가 140~164개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 165~189개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 190~214개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 215-239개의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
- 일론 머스크가 2026년 9월 10일부터 9월 12일까지 240개 이상의 트윗을 올릴까요?0¢0%
Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the overwhelming favorite because it aligns with Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns, where he typically posts 13–21 times per day absent major breaking events. His consistent engagement with followers, replies, and commentary on tech, politics, and SpaceX updates has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods, giving the market strong historical grounding. An upset into higher brackets would require an unusually intense news cycle, product launch, or personal development that dramatically increases his output, while lower totals could occur only if he steps back for travel, meetings, or platform moderation—scenarios traders currently assign minimal probability given his routine pace.
규칙
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.