- Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?<1¢
- Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?1¢
- 2027年フランス大統領選挙のための2026年左派統一予備選は中止されますか？92¢
- Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?<1¢
- Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?1¢
- ベンジャミン・リュカ＝ランディは2027年フランス大統領選挙で左派の共同候補になりますか？<1¢
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote, which rejected participation in the broader United Left primary in favor of a closed internal contest, has driven the 91.8% trader consensus that the October 11 event will be canceled. La France Insoumise and Place Publique never joined, while recent candidate withdrawals by figures including Clémentine Autain have further narrowed the field to a small group of parties and movements lacking sufficient breadth. Official resolution rules tie cancellation to non-participation by key organizers or formal announcements that the vote will not occur. Late reversals by remaining participants or new coalition agreements could still alter the outcome before the scheduled date, though such shifts appear improbable given current party positions.