Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada approved and President Zelenskyy signed the 21st extension of martial law and general mobilization on October 26, 2026, pushing both measures through January 29, 2027. Ukrainian law explicitly bars presidential elections during martial law, while Article 108 of the constitution keeps the incumbent in office until a successor is sworn in. This legal framework, combined with broad parliamentary support and public polling showing strong opposition to wartime voting, underpins trader consensus that Zelenskyy will remain president through the end of 2026. A durable ceasefire or major shift in security conditions could open the door to earlier balloting, though no such development has materialized in the past month.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.