- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?91¢91%
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?8¢8%
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1%
- 55%90,5%300-319194 E $ forgalom
- 2%8,3%320-339205,8 E $ forgalom
- 3%0,5%340-359187,3 E $ forgalom
Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X over recent weeks has positioned the 300-319 range as the clear market favorite at 73% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his typical output of main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Recent data shows weekly totals swinging sharply—372 in the prior period and bursts exceeding 400—driven by his pattern of rapid-fire engagement during business updates, memes, and public commentary that resonate with audiences. Historical averages around 38 posts daily, with peaks tied to Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural moments, support the current bracket while underscoring volatility from quiet stretches or deletion timing. With resolution imminent on November 6, any final-day activity spikes could still shift the tally within the narrow leading band.
Szabályok
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.