- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?27¢27%
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?17¢17%
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?12¢12%
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢5%
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢5%
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4¢4%
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4¢4%
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3¢3%
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2%
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2%
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2%
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢2%
1%27,3%Jon Ossoff14,6 M $ forgalom
17,5%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15,9 M $ forgalom
12,3%Gavin Newsom28,2 M $ forgalom
4,9%Kamala Harris14,7 M $ forgalom
4,6%Pete Buttigieg12,3 M $ forgalom
1%4,2%Josh Shapiro10,6 M $ forgalom
3,8%Andy Beshear13,7 M $ forgalom
3,1%James Talarico11,9 M $ forgalom
2,4%Raphael Warnock34,6 M $ forgalom
2,1%Wes Moore18,7 M $ forgalom
2%Mark Kelly18,2 M $ forgalom
1,7%Ro Khanna11,7 M $ forgalom
Jon Ossoff’s decisive reelection to the Senate from Georgia on November 4 has driven his rise to the top of the 2028 Democratic nomination market at 27.8 percent, reflecting trader emphasis on his performance in a battleground state. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez sits at 17.4 percent amid strong progressive midterm results, while Gavin Newsom holds 12.4 percent on the strength of his statewide record and recent ballot initiatives. Kamala Harris and other governors and senators trail further behind. With no candidates declared, the wide field highlights differentiators in Senate versus gubernatorial experience, progressive mobilization versus perceived general-election appeal, and name recognition versus recent momentum. Consolidation could occur through early endorsements, polling shifts in key states, or decisions by leading figures on whether to enter the race ahead of the 2028 primary calendar.
Szabályok
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.