- Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?2¢2%
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?88¢88%
- Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?11¢11%
- Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?<1¢<1%
- 2%2,4%<20677,5 $ forgalom
- 5%88%20-393,2 E $ forgalom
- 1%11%40-59747,3 $ forgalom
- 0,5%60-79608,1 $ forgalom
- 0,6%80-99438,4 $ forgalom
- 0,3%100-119481,7 $ forgalom
- 0,3%120-139511,7 $ forgalom
- 0,3%140-159391,7 $ forgalom
- 0,3%160-179451,7 $ forgalom
- 0,3%180-199428,7 $ forgalom
- 0,3%200+451,8 $ forgalom
Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a consistent posting rhythm since taking office in January 2026, centered on daily city operations, emergency updates, policy announcements, and community events. Recent activity on November 6, including multiple posts about power outages, enforcement actions, and local initiatives, aligns with this pattern. No major disruptions—such as prolonged absences, crises requiring heightened communication, or platform changes—have altered the pace in the past week or month. Traders therefore assign an 87.5% implied probability to the 20-39 post range for November 6–13, reflecting the account’s established baseline of roughly three to five posts per day. Lower-probability buckets (40-59 at 9.0%, others under 3%) account for the modest chance of spikes tied to breaking news or scheduled high-visibility events within the resolution window. The market prices capture the wisdom of crowds assessing observable posting behavior rather than forecasting specific outcomes.
Szabályok
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between November 6, 12:00 PM ET and November 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.