- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?96¢96 %
- Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31?<1¢<1 %
95,9 %Elon MuskPromet 203,6 tis. $
1 %Bernard ArnaultPromet 371,2 tis. $
0,8 %Warren BuffettPromet 94,1 tis. $
0,4 %Larry EllisonPromet 66 tis. $
0,3 %Jeff BezosPromet 348,7 tis. $
0,3 %Mark ZuckerbergPromet 134,6 tis. $
0,3 %Jensen HuangPromet 182,3 tis. $
0,3 %Steve BallmerPromet 315,2 tis. $
0,3 %Sergey BrinPromet 91,1 tis. $
0,2 %Larry PagePromet 156,7 tis. $
Elon Musk holds a commanding market lead for richest person at year-end 2026, driven by sustained Tesla stock strength, SpaceX valuation gains, and his broad technology portfolio that has outpaced peers in recent months. Traders view the 95.9% implied probability as reflecting Musk's entrenched edge, with limited time left for meaningful shifts before December 31. Historical wealth rankings show occasional volatility from market swings, yet current consensus sees little realistic path for challengers like Bernard Arnault or Jensen Huang to close the gap. An upset would require dramatic, unexpected surges in luxury goods, semiconductors, or other sectors within weeks, an outcome markets currently price as highly unlikely.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.