- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?54¢54 %
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?32¢32 %
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?8¢8 %
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 10 %6,4 %40-64Promet 46 tis. $
- 7 %54 %65-89Promet 19,3 tis. $
- 9 %31,5 %90-114Promet 16 tis. $
- 3 %7,7 %115-139Promet 24,1 tis. $
- 1 %1,6 %140-164Promet 17,4 tis. $
- 1 %0,4 %165-189Promet 18,9 tis. $
- 0,2 %190-214Promet 11,8 tis. $
Elon Musk’s recent X activity, averaging 35–45 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day across late October and early November, anchors trader expectations for the November 5–7 window. Trackers show consistent but not elevated volume, with no major news events or viral campaigns driving bursts that would push totals above 114. The 65–89 range leads at 51.5% implied probability because the partial period so far aligns with moderate weekend pacing, while 90–114 sits at 33.5% as a realistic upside if daily output ticks higher before the Saturday close. Lower and higher brackets remain thin, reflecting historical patterns where three-day totals rarely deviate sharply absent a catalyst.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 5 12:00 PM ET to November 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.