- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 7, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 8, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 9, 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?34¢34 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?25¢25 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 12, 2026?11¢11 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 13, 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 14, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 15, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 16, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?1¢1 %
- 0,5 %November 6Promet 4 tis. $
- 0,3 %November 8Promet 3,9 tis. $
- 2 %1,6 %November 9Promet 9,5 tis. $
- 12 %34,3 %November 10Promet 65,1 tis. $
- 18 %24,9 %November 11Promet 27,4 tis. $
- 1 %10,8 %November 12Promet 4,8 tis. $
- 1,9 %November 13Promet 5,5 tis. $
- 2 %0,4 %November 14Promet 5,1 tis. $
- 0,6 %November 15Promet 2,4 tis. $
- 0,6 %November 16Promet 1,5 tis. $
- 1 %1,2 %November 17Promet 4,8 tis. $
- 1 %2 %November 18Promet 2,4 tis. $
Google announced Gemini 4 Carbon on October 28, 2026, as its latest frontier large language model with state-of-the-art results in cybersecurity benchmarks and long-horizon coding tasks. The model initially rolled out in limited fashion to a subset of cyber defenders through the Fairwind Program, with Google citing deliberate safeguards, U.S. government pre-release testing, and plans to expand access “as soon as possible” after feedback. No general-availability date for developers, enterprises, or consumers has been confirmed, mirroring the phased approach used for Gemini 4 Argon two weeks earlier. Traders have priced the strongest implied probabilities around November 10–12, reflecting expectations that the company will accelerate broader API and product access within roughly two weeks of the announcement while still allowing time for iterative guardrail refinements. Upcoming catalysts include any official statements on expanded Fairwind participation or pricing tiers that could shift the timeline.
Pravila
On October 9, 2026, Business Insider reported that Google employees were internally testing a Gemini 4 model codenamed "Carbon," separate from the checkpoint later released as Gemini 4 Argon (https://www.businessinsider.com/google-employees-test-new-gemini-4-model-argon-barium-carbon-2026-10). This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which "Carbon", or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report described above, is made available to the general public by Google. A qualifying model must be a Google AI model named "Carbon" (including variants or successor branding such as Gemini Carbon, Gemini 4 Carbon, or similar naming) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report by Google or by a consensus of credible reporting. A model released under any other name, including a new Gemini model (e.g., Gemini 4.1) or an update to Gemini 4 Argon (including an update released under Argon's existing name or model identifier), will qualify only if it is confirmed by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to be the same model previously codenamed "Carbon", in which case the date on which it was made available to the general public will be used. Models merely derived from, distilled from, or incorporating improvements from Carbon will not qualify unless confirmed to be the same model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.